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OCT/NOVEMBER 2002
Planes, Trains and Politicians
By Allan Sloan
Tuesday, October 1, 2002; Page E03 Okay, it's time for a pop quiz. The subject is transportation. Ready? Here
goes. What two things do Amtrak and the airline industry have in common? The first one's easy: Both of them
are running around Washington looking for federal money. What's the second one?
Give up? Okay, it's that neither one makes money. One key difference, though, is that airlines, unlike Amtrak, are
designed to be profitable. It all makes for quite a show. We have Amtrak running around trying to beat a few
hundred million extra dollars out of Uncle Sam. Meanwhile, the airlines -- those folks who scarfed up $5 billion
of taxpayer aid after 9/11 -- are back asking for yet another handout. The airlines say that security costs have put
them on the brink oftbe financial abyss, and a war with Iraq will shove them into it -- unless Uncle Sam comes
9cross with major money. But, look at the different ways these unprofitable outfits are treated. Amtrak is
rebuked for not breaking even, while the airlines, which were in big trouble even before 9/11, get treated mostly
with respect. Why the disconnect? Largely, I think, because few people outside the airline industry realize what
dreary financial performers, airlines have been. Believe it or not, U.S. passenger airlines, those folks who charge
$2,000 for a coast-to-coast trip in a seat suitable only for contortionists (and another 80 bucks if your suitcase is
a freckle over the size limit) have barely broken even over their entire existence. By the end of this year,
according to Air Transport Association statistics, the industry's total profit since 1938 is likely to be down to a
mere $3 billion or so. In other words, you'll be able to attribute the airlines' entire profit over 65 years to the $5
billion that we taxpayers graciously gave them as compensation for having the air traffic system shut down for
several days after 9/1 I. Talk about nonprofit organizations. Once you see the airline industry for what it is -- a
public works project for airline employees and airplane builders -- you feel lots less sympathetic to the industry's
laments. Sure, 9/11 hurt air traffic. But it hurt a lot of non-airline businesses, too, and they didn't get federal
handouts. Airlines are important, but so are other things, including train service. And it's not as if the airline
industry has been a golder~ enterprise tarnished by problems that 9/11 created. Far from it. For more than 60
years, airlines have been an up-and-down business, so to speak. They make money for a while and then suffer
losses because of overexpansion, excessive debt and high labor costs. In fact, the industry had a cumulative $4.9
billion loss from 1938 through 1994, before embarking on a winning streak that probably would have ended even
without 9/11. It's not that Amtrak doesn't deserve scrutiny. It's clear even to a train fan like me -- I live in
Amtrak's core Northeast market, and I prefer taking the train to flying or driving -- that Congress has been quite
right to press Amtrak to show better financial results. Without outside pressure, Amtrak would still be the total
mess that the government inherited from bankrupt rail lines. Now it's only a partial mess. But why is Amtrak
expected to break even and cover its own capital expenses and serve financially hopeless routes, such as
Orlando-Los Angeles? And why doesn't the airline industry, heavily subsidized by general tax revenue and
ticket-tax money, get laughed out of town when it begs for money without cleaning up its financial act? Call me a
cynic, but I suspect it has something to do with more politicians flying home from Washington than taking the
(1)
train. There are lots of theories why the airlines -- except Southwest and some start-ups -~ don't make money. I'm
no gum. But even an amateur like me can see that Southwest and the successful start-ups have different route
structures and business models than the major airlines do. And management and labor seem to get along rather
than always fighting to the death. The industry has very high fixed costs for planes, labor costs and debt. But, it
has low costs for each extra passenger. So it's tempting to add passengers, even at very low fares. That has
created a pricing system in which higher-paying customers feel abused. It generates a huge amount of customer
ill will, which isn't good for any business. Amazingly, the airline loan-guarantee program set up last year as part
of the post-9/11 industry bailout has done something unusual and beneficial. Airlines have to clean up their act to
qualify for guarantees. That's why most of the $10 billion loan fund is still unspent. The House and Senate are
squabbling over a $400 million difference in what Amtrak gets: a rounding error relative to what the airlines will
extract: It would be nice if Congress leaned on the airlines the way it has leaned on Amtrak. That, alas, is about
as likely as airlines' treating coach-class fliers as customers rather than trying to play them for suckers Sloan is
Newsweek's Wall Street editor. His e-mail address is sloan@panix.com.
GIL MALLERY
-- He cut his teeth on Clark County transportation issues in the 1980s. Today Gil Mallery wanders the nation,
looking for states willing to partner with Amtrak.
Although his offices are in Oakland, Calif., and around the District of Columbia, Mallery, 54, has never given up
his Portland-area ties; he's a frequent flier home to West~ Linn. His promotion in Amtrak came during a sudden,
quiet coup this summer. One morning, 86 vice presidents, including Maliery, went to work. When the day ended,
16 still held the title. As a survivor, his domain expanded from the West Coast to the entire nation. As head of
Amtrak West, Mallery had put together partnerships with Washington, Oregon and California. Now he's in
charge of partnering with the other states. Mallery has no false hopes. "Amtrak will never be elf-sufficient," he
said. "There are n_o~rofitable lines,just different degrees of loss." Mallery rep0~sOirectly to David Gunn,
An~trak's president and chief executive officer. Mallery "can do a thousand things at once, remember everything
and do a good job," said Dean LookingbiH, who heads the Vancouver-based Regional Transportation Council.
Mallery hired him in 1980 when it was the Clark County Regional Planning Council. "He can handle chaos and
uncertainty calmly," Lookingbill said. "Somehow he has a personality that doesn't use anger to control people or
to make his point." Mallery, arcady a familiar face at Portland International Airport, increased his travels with
the new nationwide territory. "I fly in every Friday evening and out Sunday nights," he said. Instead of flying
home from offices in Los Angeles and Oakland, he may start from the nation's capital or any of the states
interested in sustaining train service. In the 1980s, Mallery, trained as an economist, moved from the Regional
Planning Council to director of Clark County's Intergovernmental Resource Center, a quasi-government group
that did extensive transportation planning. Then he moved to the state's rail division office in Olympia, and in
1995, he was named head of Amtrak West. He made a name for himself lobbying with Washington, Oregon and
California, campaigning for state support of Amtrak service. He also worked closely with transit districts in
Portland, Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles and San Diego. In the new job, Gunn put Mallery in charge of
contract commuter services, state partnerships, capital planning, new and expanded corridor services, and
analysis of existing Amtrak service from the aspect of business and finances. Transportation fairness issues
Mallery may get a helping hand from Sen Patty Murray, D-Wash., who says it's not fair that her state is paying
"top dollar" for extra rail service between Portland and Vancouver, B.C., while some areas, such as the
Northeast corridor between Boston and the nation's capital, are getting the best service while contributing
nothing. Washington and Oregon subsidize the Cascades trains -- Washington's goal is to increase to 13 trains
between Vancouver and Seattle daily -- while states along Amtrak's 150-mph Northeast corridor pay no
subsidies for premium service. Washington's Cascades rail service, using Talgo train sets between Canada and
Eugene, hauled 564,827 passengers last year, making it a showpiece for Mallery. He also has had successes in
California, running commuter lines. Now officials are talking about a Talgo train between Los Angeles and Las
Vegas. Oklahoma and Texas recently agreed to become partners in exchange for rerouting trains to larger cities.
(2)
But Mallery's job is getting tougher: Passengers want more service, but more states, including Oregon, are
talking of slashing Amtrak support. If Oregon voters reject a temporary sales tax increase early next year, money
for two Cascades trains to Eugene will be eliminated. Thus far, Washington lawmakers have protected the
subsidy to keep a half-milll%n cars off busy Interstate 5. "Some people want to kill Amtrak, others want to slowly
starve it to death, while some politicians want service limited to their areas," Mallery said. One of his biggest
hurdles will be getting the public to realize that "Amtrak is near bankruptcy, but our airlines and our highways
would be bankrupt, too, if they were not getting federal handouts and subsidies," Mallery said. "Look at the
airlines. They were near bankruptcy before Sept. 11, and they are lined up for grants and low-interest loans
worth about $10 billion." He added that akhough cars are driving more miles today, they are getting better
mileage, essentially freezing highway revenue from gas taxes. "The result is all sorts of subsidies to highway
users," he said. "The gas tax hasn't covered construction costs in years." Fruit-hauling idea faulted. One of
Mallery's special projects, Amtrak Express, is under fire from his new boss. Mallery pushed the concept of
picking up refrigerated rail cars full of Northwest fruit and coupling onto an eastbound passenger train. Gann
said the project isn't paying for itself in all areas. Even in the Northwest, the concept has been lagging. "I have
always thought there is a good market for Northwestern salmon and other fish in California and fresh fruit in the
East," Mallery said, "but that hasn't taken off." Bill Stewart: billstewart@jtews.oregohian, com
ANNUAL MEETING
We had a good meeting in Columbus, Montana, thanks to Tammy McGill. The business meeting went well with
the decision to get 'bumper' stickers that say 'I RATItER BE ON THE TRAIN' and the second line saying
"MONTANA/WYOMING ASSOCIATION OF RAILROAD PASSENGERS". We have done that and now
have them available for $1 each. We would like to pass them out at the Region 8 meeting in Shelby on April 26,
2003. The meeting date and place were also approved during the business meeting. Two of us had caps made
that has "MONTANA/WYOMING ASSOCIATION OF RAILROAD PASSENGERS" on them which can be
- -~urchased for $10J They are 1Jlack with red lettering. For either, you better add a little for postage. The
handling we will do for the good of the order. We have secured "Patti's Restaurant" in Shelby for the meeting
and eating place. It is across the highway from the depot. We will have a lunch at noon and the meetings at
1:30PM. People from the West Coast plan on taking the Builder that gets into Shelby around 11:00 and then
return on the Builder that evening at 5:30PM. Then some will stay and take the Eastbound the next day heading
for Washington DC for the annual meeting of NARP which will be the following weekend. I probably will go
back home and travel to Malta mid-week to go to the annual meeting. At the public meeting there were a lot of
topics discussed. The meeting was closed with a talk by Dorothy Bradley. She spoke about her efforts back in
the '70s and '80s in getting rail passenger service in different areas of Montana. She applauded us in our efforts
and wished us well.
PASSENGER RAIL TRAVEL
In recent weeks excursion trains have passed through Southern and Western Montana. One of them around trip
from Billings to Livingston and back was about sold out both Saturday and Sunday. The interest was increased
tremendously when the SP&S 700 was at the lead. This excursion was for the true buff and rich. The interest
generated along the route by both exeurslons makes me believe that our project has a lot of backers if we get the
point that it looks more promising. I say it that way as too many people will be backers and supporters when
they can see it will be a reality, so they jump on the band wagon. But, we need backers and supporters now.
IT IS THAT TIME OF YEAR AGAIN!
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